"Twelfth Five-Year Plan" Photovoltaic Planning Expansion Capacity Additional Price

On the evening of April 1, Beijing, drizzle. Li Dong, who just got off work, propped up the umbrella he bought yesterday and quickly walked to the subway station on the street. Li Dong is in contradiction at the moment. He is very afraid that the nuclear accident in Japan really affects the Chinese environment, so even if it is only ten minutes away from the subway, the northwestern brawny does not hesitate to prop up the umbrella; but as a photovoltaic module Li Dong, the domestic marketing manager of the company, could not help but think: If the "radiation rain" is really harmful to the human body, the government will definitely plan nuclear energy more carefully. "The large-scale start-up of the domestic solar energy market is just around the corner," Li Dong said. In fact, Li Dong may have already ushered in a new peak in his career. Just at the 5th China New Energy International Summit held two days ago, Li Junfeng, deputy director of the Energy Research Institute of the National Development and Reform Commission, paid the bottom of the enterprise: "The government's steps in the 12th Five-Year New Energy Plan are still relatively large. In particular, the photovoltaic industry.” Li Junfeng said that the goal of the photovoltaic industry development in 2015 and 2020 has been greatly improved. “The target of the 12th Five-Year Plan is less than 20GW, but it is very close.” In addition, there are people close to the NDRC. According to the reporter, the PV power tariff policy that enterprises are generally looking forward to will also be formulated and implemented at the latest next year. However, as the new energy industry continues to grow and develop, the gap in related subsidy funds will increase. “The current standard of 4 cents is not enough. It can only meet about 70% of the demand for subsidies in 2010. This is still a static standard.” Huang Shaozhong, deputy director of the Price and Financial Supervision Department of the SERC, told this reporter. Huang said that the SERC, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, has been studying a more complete renewable energy tariff policy, including an appropriate increase in the level of additional renewable energy tariffs. "According to the expected development planning level of renewable energy, the price of electricity will increase from the current 4%/kWh to 6%/kWh this year or next year, and will increase to 8%/kWh-1 minute/kWh by the end of the 12th Five-Year Plan. According to the “Emerging Energy Industry Development Plan”, the “12th Five-Year” photovoltaic expansion capacity is expected to reach 290 million kilowatts by 2020, accounting for 17% of the total installed capacity. Among them, nuclear power installed capacity will reach 70 million kilowatts, wind power installed capacity will be close to 150 million kilowatts, solar power installed capacity will reach 20 million kilowatts (ie 20GW), and biomass power generation capacity will reach 30 million kilowatts. "If the nuclear power development plan is lowered, the gap in clean energy power generation will be compensated by wind power and photovoltaics," Li Dong said. In fact, at the 2011 economic situation and power development analysis and forecast meeting, Wei Zhaofeng, the full-time vice chairman of China Electricity Council, has said that “the impact of China’s nuclear power development has been changed by 'strong’ development For the 'safe and efficient' development, the planned installed capacity in 2020 is likely to be reduced by at least 10 million kilowatts." Therefore, Trina Solar Chairman and CEO Gao Jifan made a judgment at the 5th China New Energy International Summit Forum. "At the end of the 12th Five-Year Plan, China's PV installed capacity is likely to reach 20GW." Li Junfeng's response is: "The development goal for 2015 is indeed very close to 20GW." He said that the NDRC and the Energy Bureau are developing detailed plans, including Decompose the goals of PV development to the local level. In terms of measures to promote industrial development, in addition to the Golden Sun Project and the Chartered Bidding Project, it also includes fixed tariffs with resource differences. A person close to the National Development and Reform Commission revealed to the reporter that the PV on-grid tariff policy will definitely be implemented this year or next year. "At present, it is still entangled in the price of electricity." It is understood that the government departments hope that the cost of photovoltaic power generation will drop to 0.8 yuan / kWh, and even when it is lower, the price of on-grid will be introduced. However, the agency estimates that the average PV power price in the northwestern region of China is currently guaranteed at least 1.06 yuan / kWh, and developers can get 8% internal rate of return. The power grid may receive multiple subsidies. “The relevant regulations on investment and transportation maintenance of new energy power generation access systems are not perfect. Some engineering subsidy policies for access systems are insufficient, stifling the enthusiasm of investment and construction of power grid enterprises.” Director Zhu Ming said. At present, the subsidy standard for the connection fee set by the state is determined according to the amount of electricity and the length of the line: 1 cent/kW for 50 km, 2 cents/kW for 50-100 km, and 3 cents/kW for 100 km or more. "From the point of view of the cost of the connection network, it is still somewhat low. In addition, only the radius of the power supply is absorbed. The subsidy for the longer distance is still not enough. It is difficult to meet the debt service needs of the investment in the network project." Huang Shaozhong said. The SERC does not currently have an exact figure indicating how much subsidies the grid should receive, but Zhu Ming told reporters that “for example, Shanghai Electric Power Company invested more than 60 million yuan to build the Donghai Bridge offshore wind power project. According to the current electricity price and subsidy policy, it takes 32 years. In addition, the static investment can be recovered.” In fact, from the survey conducted by the SERC, the grid company lacked the incentive to invest in the construction of some wind power grids. Taking the Mengxi area as an example, among the 15 wind power projects of the power grid, only 5 projects are connected to the grid project by the grid company for construction and management, and the rest are built by power generation enterprises; the wind power projects in Heilongjiang Province are connected to the grid project. It is undertaken by the power generation company. In 2006-2010, the amount of subsidies for electricity price subsidies was about 19.328 billion yuan, including 543 subsidized renewable energy power generation projects, subsidies of 18.6 billion yuan, accounting for 96.2%; and 65 independent public renewable energy power system projects. The amount was 114 million yuan, accounting for 0.6%; 419 subsidies for renewable energy power generation were connected, and the subsidy amount was 614 million yuan, accounting for 3.2%. "But it is not an easy task to raise the price tag for electricity prices." Huang Shaozhong said, "It can only be achieved through the price increase of selling electricity prices, but this will obviously increase the burden on ordinary residents." However, the photovoltaics ready to go Enterprises can't wait. "According to the experience of Western countries, we are also studying the mechanism for establishing a reduction in on-grid tariffs year by year." Huang Shaozhong said, "For example, due to market competition, scale of production, and increased labor productivity, wind power costs have experienced rapid decline in recent years. The process.” Huang Shaozhong said that the World Wind Energy Council estimates that by 2020, the overall cost of onshore wind turbines can be reduced by another 20%-25%, and the cost of offshore wind turbines can be reduced by more than 40%. “The cost of power generation can be reduced at the same time, which provides a possibility for the price of wind power to decline year by year.” In addition to promoting wind power, the SERC is also promoting the fiscal and taxation policies in conjunction with relevant state departments, so that the subsidies for electricity prices received by relevant enterprises are exempted by 25%. Income tax.  

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