The steel market is weak and the upstream and downstream enterprises can't afford to hurt.

“Now the price of steel has fallen too much, and the iron ore we produce has basically collapsed. Let’s look at the situation and decide whether to ship it.” An iron ore producer who did not want to be named recently told reporters that “mining The cost of stocking goods is very high. If steel prices continue to fall, the capital chain of steel upstream and downstream enterprises will be greatly tested." The active price cut by iron ore giant Vale also highlights the market's "weakness." According to the data monitored by the Xiben Shinkansen spot trading platform, from October 17 to 21, the domestic major construction steel market prices fell sharply, and the average price of 25mm-size secondary rebar in 44 major markets nationwide was 4,396 yuan/ton. The previous week fell by 229 yuan / ton, while steel futures and spot prices rebounded slightly on October 24. However, industry insiders said that the rebound in steel prices is in line with market expectations, that is, the technical rebound after the oversold, it is difficult to reverse. The steel market "fall" in the head At present, the steel market is shrouded in a haze, "fall" became the main theme. According to the reporter, at present, iron ore prices are rapidly falling at a rate of 50 yuan per ton a day. On the 24th, 66% of the iron powder wet base in Tangshan has dropped to 900 yuan / ton to 910 yuan / ton, while the price of 63.5% of Indian powder ore has fallen to 150 US dollars / ton, higher than the price in late September It has fallen by about 20%. At present, this decline has not yet seen a stabilizing trend, and some market participants are worried that the price of the mine may face a collapse. The active price cuts in Vale have also indirectly confirmed the market downturn. To this end, Vale has proposed a solution to Chinese steel mills, which is the quarterly average price as the settlement price in the fourth quarter, from 175 US dollars to 160 US dollars per ton. However, Vale reiterated in its mail to the media the attitude of continuing to support the iron ore quarterly pricing system. “Despite the complex and volatile global environment in the short term, Vale believes that the fundamentals of medium and long-term development of metals and mining are still very stable. There is no reason to make structural changes to the current mainstream pricing system.” Domestic iron ore producers are “not hurting”. “Before the concentrator received 33% of the iron ore of about 230 yuan, and the cash was settled. With the price of iron ore falling, the selection is now more cautious and the price is very low.” The above producers are reporters. Say, we only have two choices, one is to produce the goods, so the financial pressure is great. The other is to stop production, and then reproduce after the market conditions improve. At the same time, China's steel prices are also in the midst of "deep waters." According to the reporter's understanding, at present, the domestic steel market price is 4320 yuan / ton, down 260 yuan / ton from the beginning of October. In the entire "Golden September and Silver 10" market, the price of steel fell more than 500 yuan / ton, the momentum is almost equal to the end of 2008. “The property market is sluggish, and many railway investments have also been suspended. The 4 trillion yuan investment has basically been used up. The downstream orders are very different from the previous years.” Industry insiders said that September and October should have been the traditional peak season of the steel market. However, this year's "Golden Nine" did not appear, "Silver Ten" did not expect, many people have no bottom in mind, and some even began to panic-selling goods, bringing a further decline in steel prices. Although domestic steel prices have rebounded recently, for the market outlook, Hu Yanping, an analyst at China United Steel Network, said that the current price is not far from the bottom, but the real bottoming is slightly earlier, due to the steel mill price policy and maintenance. In place, the price of ore still has room to fill, and the price difference between varieties and cities of the same variety is still relatively obvious, and the true bottom features are not obvious. Qiu Yuecheng, a senior steel researcher at Xiben Shinkansen, also expects domestic steel prices to remain lower next week. "At present, the domestic steel market is still shrouded in a panic atmosphere. The factors affecting the supply and demand, capital and cost of steel prices are not substantial. Before the positive, the difficulty of stabilizing domestic steel prices is still quite large."

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